← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Middlesbrough win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Burnley −0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Anfernee Dijksteel · Middlesbrough |
| 37' | ⚽ | Connor Roberts · Burnley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hannibal Mejbri · Burnley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Turf Moor |
| coach days | 158.00 | 797.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.16 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1754.66 | 1681.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.22 | 37.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 1.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.70 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 2.21 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.68 |
| league points | 36.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 1.06 |
| solidity v1 | 1.70 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 25.27 | 24.45 |
| state index | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 109.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.74 |