← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Luton win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Luton −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Elijah Adebayo · Luton |
| 25' | ⚽ | Ante Crnac · Norwich |
| 33' | ⚽ | Ante Crnac · Norwich |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jacob Brown · Luton |
| 63' | 🟨 | Onel Hernández · Norwich |
| 71' | 🟨 | Mark McGuinness · Luton |
| 74' | 🟨 | Cauley Woodrow · Luton |
| 81' | ⚽ | Emiliano Marcondes · Norwich |
| 86' | ⚽ | Borja Sainz · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 152.00 | 760.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1408.55 | 1438.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.67 | -12.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -1.05 |
| solidity v1 | -0.53 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.12 | 29.09 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.14 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 144.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 0.78 |