← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 69% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.16 |
| Plymouth win | 12% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −1.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Plymouth −1.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Victor Pálsson · Plymouth |
| 57' | ⚽ | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 62' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 66' | 🟨 | Nahki Wells · Bristol City |
| 66' | 🟨 | Daniel Grimshaw · Plymouth |
| 70' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 89' | 🟨 | Adam Forshaw · Plymouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sinclair Armstrong · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 4 |
| 12 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 395.00 | 213.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.86 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1485.57 | 1486.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.47 | -36.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 41.70 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| league points | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -1.43 |
| solidity v1 | 1.15 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.30 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 0.39 |