← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 30, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| Blackburn win | 19% | 5.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds +0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Blackburn +0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 23' | 🟨 | Jayden Bogle · Leeds |
| 54' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 62' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 73' | 🟨 | Largie Ramazani · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 303.00 | 518.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 6.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.76 |
| elo | 1459.09 | 1564.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.94 | 29.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.72 |
| league points | 25.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 87.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 68.40 |
| rest days | 2.74 | 2.74 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 2.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 12.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 1.87 |
| solidity v1 | -0.64 | 1.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.74 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 60.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 0.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 2.00 |