← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 30, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Hull win | 20% | 5.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Hull −0.75 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Finn Azaz · Middlesbrough |
| 39' | 🟨 | Lewie Coyle · Hull |
| 41' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 46' | 🟨 | Neto Borges · Middlesbrough |
| 70' | ⚽ | Mason Burstow · Hull |
| 72' | 🟨 | Sean McLoughlin · Hull |
| 79' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 791.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1461.51 | 1387.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.83 | -37.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| league points | 27.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 64.60 |
| rest days | 2.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 1.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.29 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 27.60 |
| state index | 0.23 | -1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | 1.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| travel km | — | 107.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.24 |