← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Nov 27, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.05 |
| Blackburn win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Middlesbrough −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Riley McGree · Middlesbrough |
| 77' | ⚽ | Dominic Hyam · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.65 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 788.00 | 300.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1473.97 | 1446.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.59 | -30.84 |
| eye test v1 | 1.32 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.81 |
| league points | 27.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 18.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.23 | 0.51 |
| solidity v1 | 0.18 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.62 | — |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 125.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.66 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.18 | 1.55 |