← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Nov 26, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Bristol City win | 31% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Watford −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | 🟨 | Francisco Sierralta · Watford |
| 53' | ⚽ | Ryan Andrews · Watford |
| 72' | 🟨 | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 80' | 🟨 | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Watford |
| 87' | 🟨 | Cameron Pring · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| coach days | 270.00 | 391.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 3.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1443.55 | 1495.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.34 | 5.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -1.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 40.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 26.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 3.99 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -1.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.33 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 27.82 | — |
| state index | 0.41 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 0.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 0.86 |