← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Swansea win | 22% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds +0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Swansea +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Harry Darling · Swansea |
| 20' | ⚽ | Manor Solomon · Leeds |
| 45' | ⚽ | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 53' | 🟨 | Daniel James · Leeds |
| 55' | ⚽ (og) | Ben Cabango · Leeds |
| 57' | 🟨 | Sam Byram · Leeds |
| 73' | ⚽ | Manor Solomon · Leeds |
| 90' | 🟨 | Myles Peart-Harris · Swansea |
| 90' | ⚽ | Florian Bianchini · Swansea |
| 90' | ⚽ | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 328.00 | 512.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.81 |
| elo | 1471.50 | 1545.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.32 | 15.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 19.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 86.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 68.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 15.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 19.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | 1.51 |
| solidity v1 | 1.14 | 2.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 25.53 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 285.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.53 |