← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 54% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 |
| Oxford win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Middlesbrough +0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Greg Leigh · Oxford |
| 27' | 🟨 | Finn Azaz · Middlesbrough |
| 35' | 🟨 | Elliott Moore · Oxford |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 42' | ⚽ | Finn Azaz · Middlesbrough |
| 45' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 49' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 60' | 🟨 | Neto Borges · Middlesbrough |
| 72' | ⚽ | Dane Scarlett · Oxford |
| 80' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 83' | ⚽ | Finn Azaz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 12 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| 90' | 🟨 | George Edmundson · Middlesbrough |
| coach days | 388.00 | 784.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1552.37 | 1446.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.08 | 27.34 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.59 |
| league points | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 14.79 | 14.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | 0.99 |
| solidity v1 | -0.29 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 1.89 |