← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bramall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Hull win | 27% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton −0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Hull −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Reece Burke · Luton |
| 33' | ⚽ | Mark McGuinness · Luton |
| 37' | 🟨 | Lewie Coyle · Hull |
| 39' | 🟨 | Marvelous Nakamba · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 753.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1440.71 | 1410.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.61 | -14.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 14.10 | 13.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 0.77 |
| solidity v1 | -0.53 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.90 | 27.60 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | 1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 207.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 0.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.11 |