← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Bristol City win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley +0 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Bristol City +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Luke McNally · Bristol City |
| 23' | ⚽ | Jaidon Anthony · Burnley |
| 67' | 🟨 | Maxime Estève · Burnley |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hannibal Mejbri · Burnley |
| 70' | 🟨 | James Trafford · Burnley |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lucas Pires · Burnley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robert Dickie · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 388.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.84 | 4.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1506.43 | 1528.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.91 | -8.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 40.30 | 65.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| league points | 22.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 13.90 | 12.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | 0.54 |
| solidity v1 | 0.79 | 1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 24.75 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.90 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.66 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 0.95 |