← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 9, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Harrington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 61% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Luton win | 17% | 6.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Luton −1 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Shandon Baptiste · Luton |
| 30' | ⚽ | Delano Burgzorg · Middlesbrough |
| 31' | 🟨 | Delano Burgzorg · Middlesbrough |
| 42' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 49' | 🟨 | Daiki Hashioka · Luton |
| 51' | ⚽ | Finn Azaz · Middlesbrough |
| 54' | ⚽ | Delano Burgzorg · Middlesbrough |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jordan Clark · Luton |
| 66' | 🟨 | Carlton Morris · Luton |
| 77' | ⚽ | Jordan Clark · Luton |
| 87' | ⚽ | Finn Azaz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 770.00 | 739.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 3.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1429.89 | 1457.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.67 | -0.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| league points | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 2.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.23 | -0.73 |
| solidity v1 | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 27.54 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 304.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 1.35 |