← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Nov 6, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Stoke win | 28% | 3.54 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Stoke −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 57' | ⚽ | Million Manhoef · Stoke |
| 67' | 🟨 | Wouter Burger · Stoke |
| 77' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 79' | 🟨 | Junior Tchamadeu · Stoke |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Thomas Cannon · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 279.00 | 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1447.05 | 1451.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.06 | -11.02 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.58 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.78 |
| league points | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | -0.48 |
| solidity v1 | -0.08 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 28.32 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 85.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.11 |