← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Nov 5, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Portsmouth win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Plymouth −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Morgan Whittaker · Plymouth |
| 25' | 🟨 | Andre Gray · Plymouth |
| 34' | 🟨 | Darko Gyabi · Plymouth |
| 60' | 🟨 | Julio Pleguezuelo · Plymouth |
| 67' | 🟨 | Callum Lang · Portsmouth |
| 78' | 🟨 | Freddie Potts · Portsmouth |
| 82' | ⚽ | Michael Obafemi · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 188.00 | 674.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 4.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1509.66 | 1508.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.69 | -25.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| league points | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 0.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -1.15 |
| solidity v1 | -1.51 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.69 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 1.23 |