← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Nov 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| QPR win | 22% | 4.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough +0.5 | 54% | 1.83 |
| QPR +0.5 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Ben Gannon-Doak · Middlesbrough |
| 31' | ⚽ | Riley McGree · Middlesbrough |
| 35' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 45' | 🟨 | Neto Borges · Middlesbrough |
| 69' | ⚽ (og) | Anfernee Dijksteel · QPR |
| 87' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel Barlaser · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 401.00 | 766.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1539.78 | 1644.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.91 | -45.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| league points | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 1.29 |
| solidity v1 | 0.74 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 30.93 | 24.45 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 347.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.93 |