← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Nov 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Oxford win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Hull +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 55' | ⚽ | Hidde ter Avest · Oxford |
| 58' | 🟨 | Elliott Moore · Oxford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charlie Hughes · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 370.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1537.14 | 1617.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.39 | -26.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | 0.33 |
| solidity v1 | -0.42 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.52 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 0.97 |