← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 84% | 1.14 |
| Draw | 11% | 9.50 |
| Plymouth win | 6% | 21.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds −2.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Plymouth −2.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.37 |
| Under | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Daniel James · Leeds |
| 33' | ⚽ | Joël Piroe · Leeds |
| 38' | ⚽ | Brenden Aaronson · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 0 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 490.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1535.37 | 1523.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.43 | -44.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.62 |
| league points | 23.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.15 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.19 |
| solidity v1 | 1.48 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.89 | — |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.84 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 0.87 |