← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 2, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Salisbury
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Oxford win | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Swansea +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Louie Sibley · Oxford |
| 38' | ⚽ | Žan Vipotnik · Swansea |
| 80' | ⚽ | Florian Bianchini · Swansea |
| 84' | 🟨 | Josh Tymon · Swansea |
| 88' | ⚽ | Dane Scarlett · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 367.00 | 306.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1574.32 | 1456.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.33 | -30.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.83 |
| league points | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 67.20 |
| rest days | 6.94 | 6.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | 1.35 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.84 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 1.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 0.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.42 |