← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 1, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 37% | 2.60 |
| West Brom win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| West Brom +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
| 45' | ⚽ | Josh Maja · West Brom |
| 55' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 60' | ⚽ | Tahith Chong · Luton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amari'i Bell · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 731.00 | 762.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.96 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1450.94 | 1484.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.73 | -12.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.91 |
| league points | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 6.35 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.93 | 0.70 |
| solidity v1 | -0.85 | 1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 27.26 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.06 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 125.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 0.84 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 0.99 |