← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Oxford win | 17% | 5.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Sunderland −1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Jobe Bellingham · Sunderland |
| 23' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · Sunderland |
| 37' | 🟨 | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 51' | 🟨 | Dane Scarlett · Oxford |
| 63' | ⚽ | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 77' | 🟨 | Louie Sibley · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 117.00 | 360.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1655.51 | 1556.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.92 | 11.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 73.10 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 25.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.27 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.48 |
| solidity v1 | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 23.09 | — |
| state index | 0.79 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 0.90 |