← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Blackburn win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Watford −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Francisco Sierralta · Watford |
| 49' | 🟨 | Giorgi Chakvetadze · Watford |
| 51' | 🟨 | Edo Kayembe · Watford |
| 55' | 🟨 | Kwadwo Baah · Watford |
| 68' | 🟨 | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 69' | 🟨 | Danny Batth · Blackburn |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Edo Kayembe · Watford |
| 88' | 🟨 | Festy Ebosele · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominic Hyam · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Callum Brittain · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| coach days | 239.00 | 268.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1583.24 | 1612.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.84 | -6.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -0.25 |
| solidity v1 | -0.96 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.81 | 25.07 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 270.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.71 | 0.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 0.95 |