← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 42% | 2.38 |
| Bristol City win | 31% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Stoke −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Lewis Koumas · Stoke |
| 14' | ⚽ | Andrew Moran · Stoke |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jun-Ho Bae · Stoke |
| 50' | ⚽ | Nahki Wells · Bristol City |
| 51' | 🟨 | Joe Williams · Bristol City |
| 52' | ⚽ | Nahki Wells · Bristol City |
| 74' | 🟨 | Andrew Moran · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Thompson · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 28 |
| 6 | On target | 10 |
| 6 | Corners | 13 |
| 10 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 51.00 | 356.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1461.16 | 1488.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.97 | 24.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.71 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 52.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.58 |
| league points | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | -0.50 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.44 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.32 | — |
| state index | -0.30 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.42 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.31 |