← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 |
| Portsmouth win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff −0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Portsmouth −0.5 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ (og) | Regan Poole · Cardiff |
| 13' | ⚽ | Callum Robinson · Cardiff |
| 17' | 🟨 | Calum Chambers · Cardiff |
| 23' | 🟨 | Jordan Williams · Portsmouth |
| 64' | 🟨 | Freddie Potts · Portsmouth |
| 79' | 🟨 | Andy Rinomhota · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 51.00 | 660.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 4.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1392.22 | 1541.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.22 | -31.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -1.18 |
| solidity v1 | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.24 | — |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 167.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.27 |