← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.26 |
| Bristol City win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.75 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Bristol City −0.75 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough |
| 8' | 🟨 | Rav van den Berg · Middlesbrough |
| 13' | 🟨 | Finn Azaz · Middlesbrough |
| 27' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 41' | 🟨 | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 43' | 🟨 | Luke McNally · Bristol City |
| 45' | ⚽ | Yu Hirakawa · Bristol City |
| 50' | 🟨 | Ben Gannon-Doak · Middlesbrough |
| 56' | 🟨 | Luke Ayling · Middlesbrough |
| 83' | 🟨 | George Earthy · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 749.00 | 353.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1678.95 | 1586.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.50 | -10.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.60 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.58 |
| league points | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.09 | 0.32 |
| solidity v1 | 1.28 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.64 | 27.76 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.71 | 1.39 |