← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Oxford win | 25% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| West Brom +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Karlan Grant · West Brom |
| 63' | 🟨 | Benjamin Nelson · Oxford |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
| 75' | 🟨 | Louie Sibley · Oxford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Malcolm Ebiowei · Oxford |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dane Scarlett · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 353.00 | 749.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 0.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1603.23 | 1482.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.67 | 11.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 67.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.89 |
| league points | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 1.02 |
| solidity v1 | 0.01 | 1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 28.00 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 0.76 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.82 |