← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Plymouth win | 31% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Blackburn +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Michael Obafemi · Plymouth |
| 22' | 🟨 | Dominic Hyam · Blackburn |
| 49' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 67' | 🟨 | Adam Randell · Plymouth |
| 86' | ⚽ | Joe Rankin-Costello · Blackburn |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jordan Houghton · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bali Mumba · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Morgan Whittaker · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joe Rankin-Costello · Blackburn |
| 90' | ⚽ | Morgan Whittaker · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 157.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.36 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1559.22 | 1612.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.89 | 13.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| league points | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -0.43 |
| solidity v1 | -0.25 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.07 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 0.95 |