← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Middlesbrough win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| West Brom −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
| 59' | 🟨 | Uroš Račić · West Brom |
| 73' | ⚽ | Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough |
| 90' | 🟨 | Isaiah Jones · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 731.00 | 731.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 3.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1710.18 | 1677.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.18 | 0.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.40 | 68.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.62 |
| league points | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.29 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | 1.17 |
| solidity v1 | 1.37 | 1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.42 | 24.11 |
| state index | 0.89 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| travel km | — | 235.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 0.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.85 | 1.82 |