← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Hull win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Hull +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Xavier Simons · Hull |
| 25' | ⚽ | Cody Drameh · Hull |
| 36' | ⚽ | Chris Bedia · Hull |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Madsen · QPR |
| 63' | 🟨 | Alfie Jones · Hull |
| 64' | 🟨 | Sean McLoughlin · Hull |
| 71' | ⚽ | Liam Millar · Hull |
| 88' | 🟨 | Elijah Dixon-Bonner · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 366.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 3.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1567.66 | 1628.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.06 | -2.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.69 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.70 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.81 |
| solidity v1 | -0.33 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.93 | 25.52 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 248.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.13 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.21 |