β EFL Championship 2024-25 Β· Tue, Oct 1, 06:45 PM UTC Β· ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Blackburn win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry β0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Blackburn β0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | β½ | Jake Bidwell Β· Coventry |
| 48' | β½ | Haji Wright Β· Coventry |
| 58' | π¨ | Ben Sheaf Β· Coventry |
| 60' | π¨ | Todd Cantwell Β· Blackburn |
| 67' | π¨ | Hayden Carter Β· Blackburn |
| 81' | π¨ | John Buckley Β· Blackburn |
| 84' | β½ | Brandon Thomas-Asante Β· Coventry |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 2771.00 | 243.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1469.59 | 1490.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.69 | 42.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.86 | 58.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.74 |
| league points | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -0.42 |
| solidity v1 | 0.06 | 1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.43 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.82 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| travel km | β | 157.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.02 |