← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 |
| Coventry win | 17% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Leeds −1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
| 49' | ⚽ | Jayden Bogle · Leeds |
| 76' | 🟨 | Joe Rodon · Leeds |
| 79' | ⚽ | Joël Piroe · Leeds |
| 84' | 🟨 | Joel Latibeaudiere · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 455.00 | 2768.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.09 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1508.68 | 1482.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.12 | -14.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 53.83 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.46 | 0.73 |
| league points | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.45 | 0.41 |
| solidity v1 | 1.71 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.83 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.39 | — |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.01 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| travel km | — | 148.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.70 |