← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 |
| Oxford win | 21% | 4.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bristol City −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Joe Williams · Bristol City |
| 11' | 🟨 | Idris El Mizouni · Oxford |
| 28' | ⚽ | Rúben Rodrigues · Oxford |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 57' | ⚽ | Sinclair Armstrong · Bristol City |
| 66' | 🟨 | Elliott Moore · Oxford |
| 74' | 🟨 | Will Vaulks · Oxford |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Nahki Wells · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 325.00 | 325.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1464.52 | 1622.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.48 | -9.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.73 |
| league points | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.02 |
| solidity v1 | -0.25 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.17 |