← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 21, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Hooper
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Sunderland win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Sunderland +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 20' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 24' | ⚽ | Chris Rigg · Sunderland |
| 45' | 🟨 | Patrick Roberts · Sunderland |
| 70' | 🟨 | Chris Rigg · Sunderland |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ben Gannon-Doak · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 82.00 | 721.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 4.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| elo | 1617.54 | 1679.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 54.25 | -1.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 69.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 12.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 18.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | 1.07 |
| solidity v1 | 1.11 | 1.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 22.89 | 24.11 |
| state index | 0.99 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| travel km | — | 38.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.95 |