← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Oxford win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Stoke +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | ⚽ | Idris El Mizouni · Oxford |
| 79' | 🟨 | Junior Tchamadeu · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 5 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 318.00 | 13.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1617.89 | 1477.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.55 | 4.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.75 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.50 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 13.90 | 13.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -0.14 |
| solidity v1 | -0.20 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.32 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.30 |