← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
| Portsmouth win | 25% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Sunderland +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ (og) | Zak Swanson · Sunderland |
| 44' | 🟨 | Chris Rigg · Sunderland |
| 51' | ⚽ | Alan Browne · Sunderland |
| 56' | ⚽ | Romaine Mundle · Sunderland |
| 78' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Kamara · Portsmouth |
| 88' | 🟨 | Zak Swanson · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kusini Yengi · Portsmouth |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Luke O'Nien · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 608.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1622.86 | 1458.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.23 | 43.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | — | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.67 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.33 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | -0.44 |
| solidity v1 | -1.83 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.33 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 22.55 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 458.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.41 | 0.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.27 |