← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Plymouth win | 30% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Plymouth +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.54 |
| Under | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Eric Bocat · Stoke |
| 32' | 🟨 | Wouter Burger · Stoke |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ben Wilmot · Stoke |
| 83' | ⚽ | Million Manhoef · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adam Forshaw · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 122.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.51 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1577.75 | 1463.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.58 | -19.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| league points | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -0.39 |
| solidity v1 | -0.39 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.32 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.41 | 1.20 |