← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 31, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Cardiff win | 27% | 3.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff +0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Middlesbrough +0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Manolis Siopis · Cardiff |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jesper Daland · Cardiff |
| 55' | ⚽ | Matthew Clarke · Middlesbrough |
| 69' | 🟨 | Aidan Morris · Middlesbrough |
| 82' | ⚽ (og) | Aaron Ramsey · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 457.00 | 700.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 4.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1502.61 | 1674.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -54.18 | 18.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 71.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| league points | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 6.90 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 18.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 1.52 |
| solidity v1 | -1.38 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 24.11 |
| state index | -1.24 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| travel km | — | 369.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 2.23 |