← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Burnley win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Sunderland −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | CJ Egan-Riley · Burnley |
| 26' | ⚽ | Romaine Mundle · Sunderland |
| 40' | 🟨 | Dan Neil · Sunderland |
| 51' | 🟨 | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 51' | 🟨 | Lyle Foster · Burnley |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jay Rodriguez · Burnley |
| 85' | 🟨 | Dan Neil · Sunderland |
| 85' | 🟥 | Dan Neil · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nazariy Rusyn · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 54.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1448.67 | 1499.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.61 | 10.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.90 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | 0.02 |
| solidity v1 | — | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 23.22 | 26.32 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 136.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | — | 2.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | — | 1.04 |