← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 36% | 2.67 |
| West Brom win | 34% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| West Brom +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Karlan Grant · West Brom |
| 29' | ⚽ | Lewis Koumas · Stoke |
| 31' | ⚽ | Josh Maja · West Brom |
| 41' | 🟨 | Josh Laurent · Stoke |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 67' | 🟨 | Alex Palmer · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lewis Koumas · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 267.00 | 693.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 9.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1475.72 | 1449.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.66 | -3.85 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.60 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.12 | -0.49 |
| solidity v1 | -0.25 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.32 | 27.93 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 55.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 0.77 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.09 |