← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.98 |
| Portsmouth win | 10% | 11.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −1.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Middlesbrough −1.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Christian Saydee · Portsmouth |
| 11' | ⚽ | Matthew Clarke · Middlesbrough |
| 25' | ⚽ | Christian Saydee · Portsmouth |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ryley Towler · Portsmouth |
| 43' | 🟨 | Christian Saydee · Portsmouth |
| 55' | 🟨 | Harvey Blair · Portsmouth |
| 57' | 🟨 | Will Norris · Portsmouth |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jordan Williams · Portsmouth |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 29 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 15 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.58 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 693.00 | 601.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1676.92 | 1636.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.39 | 8.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.30 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.10 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.39 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | 0.36 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.11 | — |
| state index | 0.79 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 420.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 2.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.88 | 0.94 |