← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 |
| Oxford win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −1 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Blackburn −1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.78 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
| 44' | ⚽ | Mark Harris · Oxford |
| 45' | ⚽ | Joe Rankin-Costello · Blackburn |
| 57' | 🟨 | Peter Kioso · Oxford |
| 77' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 83' | ⚽ | Arnór Sigurðsson · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 205.00 | 297.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1592.73 | 1535.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.99 | 7.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 0.01 |
| solidity v1 | 0.12 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.07 | — |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 0.94 |