← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Blackburn win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Norwich −0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Ryan Hedges · Blackburn |
| 27' | 🟨 | Jack Stacey · Norwich |
| 45' | 🟨 | Callum Doyle · Norwich |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 65' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 68' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 73' | ⚽ | Borja Sainz · Norwich |
| 78' | 🟨 | Hayden Carter · Blackburn |
| 87' | ⚽ | Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 47.00 | 198.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.77 | 3.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1642.79 | 1589.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.57 | 40.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.79 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | -1.27 |
| solidity v1 | 0.28 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.51 | 25.07 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 281.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.49 |