← Primeira Liga 2016-17 · Sun, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 75% | 77% | 1.30 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 14% | 6.10 | fair |
| Chaves win | 9% | 9% | 10.89 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1804.94 | 1500.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.81 | -22.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| league points | 67.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 19.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.03 | 1.15 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.78 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |