← Primeira Liga 2016-17 · Sat, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória SC win | 57% | 56% | 1.70 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 29% | 3.91 | value: +12% |
| Feirense win | 18% | 16% | 5.47 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vitória SC | Feirense |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 445.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1664.40 | 1520.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.89 | 38.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 62.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.36 |
| squad age | — | 28.57 |
| state index | 0.88 | 0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |