← Primeira Liga 2016-17 · Sat, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 67% | 64% | 1.45 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 22% | 4.59 | fair |
| Feirense win | 12% | 14% | 8.45 | value: +17% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feirense | Sporting Clube de Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 438.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1484.50 | 1821.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.22 | -12.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| league points | 42.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 2.09 |
| state index | -0.07 | 1.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |