← Primeira Liga 2016-17 · Sat, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 73% | 80% | 1.34 | value: +8% |
| Draw | 19% | 11% | 5.15 | fair |
| Boavista win | 8% | 9% | 12.20 | value: +4% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Boavista |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1650.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1854.50 | 1541.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.11 | 1.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| league points | 57.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 1.26 |
| squad age | — | 27.00 |
| state index | 1.61 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |