← Primeira Liga 2016-17 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boavista win | 35% | 32% | 2.78 | fair |
| Draw | 33% | 34% | 2.97 | fair |
| Rio Ave FC win | 32% | 34% | 3.04 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Gil Dias · Rio Ave FC |
| 67' | 🟨 | Tarantini · Rio Ave FC |
| 76' | ⚽ | Adama Traoré · Rio Ave FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Boavista | Rio Ave FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1643.00 | 1735.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estádio do Bessa |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.10 |
| elo | 1532.40 | 1549.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.12 | 2.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.64 |
| league points | 34.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 12.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.35 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |