← Primeira Liga 2015-16 · Sun, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 65% | 60% | 1.51 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | 4.62 | value: +7% |
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 14% | 17% | 6.95 | value: +19% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | Sporting Clube de Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 319.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1651.31 | 1866.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.43 | 25.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.96 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.70 |
| league points | 58.00 | 83.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 2.52 |
| state index | 0.59 | 1.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |