← Primeira Liga 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 89% | 92% | 1.09 | fair |
| Draw | 8% | 5% | 12.50 | fair |
| Uniao Madeira win | 3% | 3% | 35.00 | value: +6% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Uniao Madeira |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1867.36 | 1454.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.13 | -27.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| league points | 74.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.47 | 0.87 |
| state index | 1.72 | -1.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |