← Primeira Liga 2014-15 · Sun, May 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 60% | 59% | 1.63 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 22% | 4.19 | fair |
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 17% | 19% | 5.81 | value: +9% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Sporting Clube de Braga |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 320.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1766.07 | 1617.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.79 | -37.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 70.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 1.72 |
| state index | 1.33 | -0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |