← Primeira Liga 2014-15 · Sat, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 65% | 66% | 1.50 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 4.53 | fair |
| Maritimo win | 14% | 13% | 6.99 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 312.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1660.97 | 1544.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.76 | 10.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 55.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |